PhD Dissertation · University of Baghdad · Civil Engineering · 2026

Enhancing Construction Project Performance Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques

A validated, live-deployed framework integrating NLP extraction, entropy-weighted dynamic KPI prioritisation, and reinforcement learning — validated across five international case studies in four countries.

0
Delphi-Validated KPIs
0
Studies Systematically Reviewed
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International Case Studies
0
Days Early Warning Lead Time

Construction Projects Fail Silently.By the time the report arrives, the damage is done.

Iraq's construction sector loses an estimated 30–40% of project budgets to delays, cost overruns, and reporting failures. The root cause is not resource scarcity — it is a fundamental gap in real-time performance intelligence.

Conventional monitoring relies on weekly manual reports. Critical signals — a schedule slip, a cost variance, a safety near-miss — go undetected for days. When they surface, corrective action is reactive. This research eliminates that gap.

01

Reporting Latency

Weekly manual reports delay issue detection by 5–7 days. By then, recovery costs multiples of prevention.

02

Unstructured Communication

Site teams communicate in mixed Arabic-English. No prior construction AI system addressed this code-switching at field level.

03

Static KPI Weighting

Traditional frameworks apply fixed weights regardless of project context, archetype, or evolving site conditions.

04

No Early Warning

Existing systems detect problems after thresholds are breached. IPAF detects the signal 30 days before the breach.

Three Integrated AI Layers.One Continuous Performance Signal.

IPAF is the first construction performance framework to integrate NLP extraction, entropy-weighted dynamic KPI prioritisation, and reinforcement learning in a single operational system — validated on live international projects.

Layer 01

Natural Language Processing

Raw project communications in Arabic, English, or mixed language are processed by a self-hosted LLM (Qwen2.5-7B). Four extraction agents operate concurrently: KPI Extractor, Risk Detector, Message Summariser, and Sentiment Analyser. Confidence-scored outputs feed the weighting engine weekly.

Qwen2.5-7BBilingual 4 AgentsReal-time
Layer 02

Entropy-Weighted Dynamic KPI Prioritisation

W_Final(j) = α · W_expert(j) + β · W_strategic(j) + γ · W_EWM(j)
α
Expert Consensus
from 218-study systematic review
β
Strategic Priority
PM-defined project weights
γ
EWM Data-Driven
entropy weights updated weekly

α + β + γ = 1.0 · each ≥ 0.10 · adjusted weekly by RL agent

57 KPIs10 Domains 3 ArchetypesWeekly Adaptation
Layer 03

RL State Classification + Early Warning

A reinforcement learning agent classifies project health into one of six states weekly. Three early warning pathways fire 30 days before conventional thresholds are reached. Human oversight is mandatory at four defined trigger points.

S1 Normal S2 Schedule S3 Financial S4 Crisis S5 Recovery S6 Realignment
6 States3 Warning Pathways4 Override Triggers

Five Projects. Four Countries.One Framework. Consistent Results.

Validated across five international construction projects using prospective, retrospective, and mixed methodologies. Across all five cases, the data-driven EWM coefficient (γ) increased — the primary cross-case finding.

PPP🇨🇦 Canada

BC Highway Infrastructure

PPP Archetype · 22 Weeks Prospective

46 Active KPIs

✓ 10/10 KPIs improved

γ increase+12%
HCI🇮🇶 Iraq

Erbil Residential Complex

HCI Archetype · 24 Months (17 retro + 7 live)

47 Active KPIs

✓ 10/10 KPIs improved · 30-day schedule warning

γ increase+40%
← Largest in portfolio
HCI🇮🇶 Iraq

Baghdad Luxury High-Rise

HCI Archetype · 24 Months Mixed

41 Active KPIs

✓ EWM detected gradual decay vs binary suspension

γ increase+30%
NP🇶🇦 Qatar

Hamad General Hospital

NP Archetype · 12 Months Retrospective

37 Active KPIs

✓ 30-day strategic alignment warning (M5→M6)

γ increase+8%
HCI🇦🇺 Australia

Westgate Tunnel Melbourne

HCI Archetype · 18 Months Retrospective

28 Active KPIs

✓ M3 safety entropy precursor before PFAS crisis

γ increase+20%
Budget: $5.5B → $10.2B (85% overrun)

γ increased in all five cases regardless of starting archetype, country, or project type — confirming that accumulated project data consistently becomes the dominant weighting signal as projects mature.

Primary Cross-Case Finding · Chapter 5

Not a Prototype.A Deployed System.

IPAF is deployed on live infrastructure. The web application processes real project communications, extracts KPIs through a self-hosted LLM, runs the weighting and classification engine weekly, and serves role-differentiated dashboards to Project Managers, Site Engineers, and Clients.

🖥
Frontend
React 18 + Vite + TypeScript
Backend
Cloudflare Workers (Edge)
🗄
Database
Cloudflare D1 (SQLite)
🧠
NLP
LM Studio · Qwen2.5-7B · Self-hosted
📡
Pipeline
Discord → Sheets → NLP → Engine → Dashboard
📅
Scheduling
ACI Multi-Agent Crew Scheduler
ipaf-web.zaed124.workers.dev
S1 Normal Execution
α0.42
β0.28
γ0.30
Foundation
Structure
MEP Rough-In
Façade
Fit-Out
What is the current project state?
S1 — Normal Execution (90% confidence). No active warnings this week.
SPI this week is 0.94
✅ Saved SPI = 0.94 for Week 12. Dashboard updated.

Four Verified Contributionsto Construction AI Research

01

Dynamic KPI Taxonomy

121 KPIs from 218 studies, reduced to 57 through two-round Delphi (CV ≤ 0.30) across 10 unified domains. First construction KPI taxonomy combining expert consensus, strategic context, and data-driven entropy weighting in a single validated set.

02

Integrated AI Framework

First construction performance framework to integrate NLP extraction, entropy-weighted dynamic prioritisation, and reinforcement learning in a single operational system — validated on live international projects.

03

30-Day Early Warning

Three domain-specific pathways (schedule entropy, strategic alignment, safety entropy) demonstrated consistent 30-day lead time across CS2, CS4, and CS5 — before conventional reporting detected the same signals.

04

Cross-Case RL Evidence

γ coefficient increased across all five case studies regardless of archetype, country, or starting value — providing the first empirical evidence that EWM weighting consistently gains dominance as project data accumulates.

Getting Startedكيفية استخدام النظام

IPAF is designed for construction professionals at all levels of technical experience. Follow these steps to begin monitoring your project.

تم تصميم نظام IPAF للمهنيين في مجال البناء بجميع مستويات الخبرة التقنية. اتبع هذه الخطوات لبدء مراقبة مشروعك.

1
Log In
تسجيل الدخول

Open the system and enter your email and password. Your project manager will provide your credentials.

افتح النظام وأدخل بريدك الإلكتروني وكلمة المرور. سيزودك مدير المشروع ببيانات تسجيل الدخول.

2
View Your Dashboard
عرض لوحة التحكم

Your dashboard shows the project state, KPI values, and any active alerts. The coloured badge at the top tells you the current project health.

تعرض لوحة التحكم حالة المشروع وقيم مؤشرات الأداء وأي تنبيهات نشطة. تشير الشارة الملونة في الأعلى إلى صحة المشروع الحالية.

3
Enter Data via Chat
إدخال البيانات عبر المحادثة

Tap the chat button (bottom-right corner) and type your site update in Arabic or English. The system extracts KPI values automatically.

انقر على زر المحادثة (الزاوية اليمنى السفلية) واكتب تحديث الموقع بالعربية أو الإنجليزية. يستخرج النظام قيم مؤشرات الأداء تلقائياً.

4
Confirm and Save
تأكيد وحفظ

Review the extracted values shown in the chat, then tap 'Save All' to update your project dashboard.

راجع القيم المستخرجة المعروضة في المحادثة، ثم انقر على 'حفظ الكل' لتحديث لوحة تحكم مشروعك.

The Research & Researcher

This framework is the product of doctoral research in Construction Project Management at the University of Baghdad. It addresses the acute gap between modern AI capabilities and their adoption in Iraqi and MENA-region construction practice.

The live system — deployed on real infrastructure and validated across five international case studies — serves simultaneously as the dissertation's empirical contribution and a replicable methodology for integrated AI performance management in construction.

ResearcherZaid Khalid
DegreePhD · Construction Management
InstitutionUniversity of Baghdad
DepartmentCollege of Engineering · Civil Engineering
SupervisorProf. Dr. Meervat R. Altaie
Year2026
Technology
ReactTypeScriptCloudflare Workers D1LM StudioQwen2.5-7B Discord APIGoogle Sheets APITailwind CSS
Standards
PMBOKISO 31000Delphi Method Entropy Weight MethodProximal Policy Optimisation